Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
113000-114000
Mark Price
115468.69
Actual Price
115076.8
Prediction Result
BTCUSDT is currently experiencing a notable short-term decline, having fallen to the middle-lower band region of the Bollinger Bands, with a dominant bearish trend in the market. The MACD negative value is widening, RSI is severely oversold, but rebound signals are insufficient, indicating ongoing downward momentum. All short-term moving averages have crossed below, with the price well below MA5, MA10, and MA20, encountering dense resistance during rebounds, which is characteristic of a weak consolidation market. Although large account holdings and the number of long and short positions are slightly skewed towards longs, indicating some funds are bottom-fishing, the active buy/sell ratio has dropped to 0.7892. The buying momentum among bulls is weak, and the overall volume has not shown effective expansion. Mainstream sentiment remains cautious or even conservative. The amplitude is -2.426, with a negative funding rate, dominating market sentiment with a bearish bias. The KDJ indicator is at a low level with no golden cross signs, suggesting the price will continue to decline in the short term. Support levels are focused around 113,000–114,000. If this range is reached and a short-term rebound occurs in conjunction (such as MACD leveling off or RSI warming), a short-term long position to chase the rebound can be considered; otherwise, it is highly probable that the decline will continue after encountering resistance, with the next strong support at 107,400. Advanced traders may consider gradually adding long positions in the 113,000–114,000 area, with stop-loss orders set below 112,700 to prevent further deep declines. The short-term target for a rebound is 118,000. If oversold conditions are met, slight additional positions can be taken. Short-term traders should wait patiently for new clear signals before entering the market. Currently, it is not advisable to blindly bottom-fish. Emphasis should be on controlling positions and risks, continuously monitoring the volume-price relationship, key moving averages, and technical indicator developments, while strictly avoiding abrupt market reversals.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 01, 2025 01:04
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-6h-forecast-2025-upd1992
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.