Binance BTCUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Based on K-line analysis, BTCUSDT has been continuously declining from high levels, showing no signs of bottoming out; the medium-term moving average death cross remains, indicating overall weakness. Within the Bollinger Bands, the price is close to the lower band; given the current Percent B trend, there is a higher probability of further downward exploration. Without strong buying volume entering the market, a substantial short-term rebound is unlikely. The RSI across mid-term cycles remains in a weak state, with clear market selling pressure; MACD has not shown a notable golden cross, indicating a dominant downward trend with strong bearish sentiment. The active buy-sell ratio is below 1, and institutional long sentiment is high, but actual buy-in lacks follow-through; this strongly suggests the top position has not been reduced, causing short-term passive pressure. Recent trading volume has not shown significant increase, implying limited bottom-fishing capital; additionally, DMI- (the bearish directional movement indicator) is far stronger than DMI+ (the bullish indicator), confirming a clear trend of market decline. It is highly likely that the decline will continue over the next four hours, with a short-term support zone between 89,000 and 90,500; if this support is broken, further exploration downward should be expected. Operational advice: Bulls should refrain from blindly entering positions at this time. In the short term, consider lightening positions for a tentative short, and gradually take profits when rebound momentum weakens. If the price falls to 89,000–89,500, closely monitor support performance; if a volume-driven rebound occurs, switch to a bullish stance. Set stop-loss points below the lower Bollinger Band as a reference. From a macro perspective, this correction has been sizable, but the recent oversold condition has not yet shown effective bottoming signals. It is advisable to wait until the bears release pressure and volume increases before considering long positions. Exercise caution with high leverage, paying attention to position sizing and risk control.