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Binance BTCUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 15, 2025 07:41
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

94800-96500

Mark Price

96136.93

Actual Price

95811.18

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price at 96,136 is near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands (lower_band at 93,618), with the percent_b of Bollinger Bands at only 0.20, indicating the price is close to a low zone with obvious weakness.
  • All moving averages (MA5=95,910; MA10=97,018; MA20=99,811; MA50=102,009; MA200=107,672) are above the current price, indicating a short- to long-term bearish alignment and a weak trend.
  • The MACD indicator remains in negative territory (dif=-2,093; dea=-1,663; macd=-859), with ongoing momentum release and a clear downward signal.
  • Multi-period RSI values are low (RSI6=41.76; RSI12=24.37; RSI14=32.96; RSI24=32.99). Some indicators indicate oversold conditions, but no clear rebound signals have emerged.
  • The KDJ indicator is at a low level, with K=24, D=19, J=32; short-term rebound strength is weak.
  • The ATR volatility indicator is 1,884, indicating high volatility. The DMI shows DMI- (28.76) is greater than DMI+ (11.82), signaling strong downward momentum, with ADX at 29.44 indicating high trend strength.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 1.5, the long-short account ratio is 3.25, and the large-hoard holding ratio is 2.42, suggesting some long capital is attempting to buy in. However, the funding rate remains low (0.0001), indicating low leverage sentiment and dominance of the bear side.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT is currently clearly in a sideways descending zone. From the candlestick structure, the trend is gradually weakening. Recently, it has continuously broken below key moving averages without showing strong reversal signals. The Bollinger Bands indicate that the price has fallen into the lower band area, and the percent_b is below 0.3, suggesting bearish market sentiment and a lack of short-term rebound momentum. The moving average system presents a bearish alignment, with short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages exerting resistance on the current price. The MACD and RSI indicators together show that the downward momentum is still being released. Although RSI is in the oversold zone, there is no significant buying support. The KDJ indicator is also at a very low level; after a short-term correction, a rebound may occur, but the overall situation remains weak. The ADX and DMI indicators show that trend strength is high, with a clear advantage for the bears. It is expected that the price will continue to be under pressure in the short term. Trading volume has not shown significant concentrated spikes, indicating cautious market sentiment and no obvious signs of large funds reversing positions. Although active buying and selling, account counts, and large-holder positions indicate attempts to go long, the ratio of long to short accounts and the low trading fee rates suggest that a strong counterattack has not yet formed. Overall, bearish sentiment remains dominant. In the next four hours, it is predicted that the price will continue to decline inertia-wise to the 94,800-96,500 range. Attention should be paid to the support strength at the lower band and whether rebound signals appear. If an oversold rebound or strong buy-in by major players occurs later, a short-term contrarian small position could be considered, but the overall trend remains bearish. Trading advice: do not chase shorts at high levels, strictly control stop-loss at the lower band zone, and cautiously attempt long positions at low levels only after confirming rebound signals; otherwise, it is better to stay on the sidelines. Prioritize risk control to prevent continued trend declines.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(41.7688) rsi12(24.376) rsi14(32.9637)
  • MACD:dif(-2093.6221) dea(-1663.7688) macd(-859.7066)
  • MA:ma5(95910.6) ma10(95910.6) ma20(99811.76)
  • Boll:up(106004.64) mid(99811.76) down(93618.87)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:231157.627 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.28%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.2553
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 15, 2025 07:41

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4256

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.