Binance BTCUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Based on comprehensive technical analysis, the BTCUSDT short-term timeframe exhibits a strong bullish momentum, with the Bollinger Band upper band being broken, leading to an unexpected price surge. Although there are short-term overbought signals, the fund-driven nature and the predominance of mainstream capital remain intact. The MACD golden cross persists, coupled with sustained positive volume expansion, indicating that the current upward move has good continuation potential. The first target for this rally is expected to be the inertial space beyond the Bollinger Band breakout, with initial focus on the 113,400 level (aligning with the upper 10MA and extended Bollinger upper band target). Further prospects include testing the 200-day moving average region around 114,000–115,000. Short-term indicators such as RSI and KDJ are both in overbought and highly overbought zones, respectively, suggesting caution against increased short-term volatility. However, given that the long and short positions' structure and recent trading volume show no significant divergence, active capital may continue to push prices higher. Support levels are situated at 111,850 and along the MA5 line. Should the price unexpectedly correct, attention should be paid to the capital absorption and stop-loss management in this area. Trading strategy: Primarily follow the trend for long positions. Aggressive traders may chase the rally but must carefully monitor stop-loss levels (around 111,850–111,600). Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to support levels or for overbought conditions to ease before taking positions. Targets are set between 113,400 and 115,000; a volume breakout above these levels could initiate a new trend cycle. Overall, the main trend remains bullish. While short-term gains are large, caution against shakeouts and corrections is advised. Currently, no clear bearish reversal signals are evident. Risk management through strict position sizing and stop-loss adherence is essential.