Binance BTCUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

From the candlestick chart, BTCUSDT shows an overall pattern of high-level oscillation followed by a clear decline; the latest candlestick body is near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that the downward trend has not stabilized. All major moving averages (MA5 to MA200) are above the current price, and the price has fully broken below the moving average bands, making it difficult for an effective rebound in the short term; the MA arrangements are under bearish pressure. The MACD histogram continues to expand in the negative territory, indicating that the bearish momentum is not exhausted and the bearish pressure remains. RSI and KDJ are deeply oversold; while short-term rebounds may occur at any moment, the overall trend remains downward with no signs of stabilization or reversal. Volatility data shows ATR at a high level; after extreme market fluctuations, there is no evidence of bottoming out. ADX > 20 indicates a clear trend, and the -DI is significantly higher than +DI, suggesting the market is dominated by bears. Although the long-short position structure shows more longs (major accounts holding long positions with a ratio > 1), the buy-sell ratio remains below 1, reflecting that the actual bullish funds have not been able to induce a reversal. The main force is pulling back and withdrawing longs, leading to weak, oscillating downward price action. In the next four hours, it is expected that BTCUSDT will remain weak, with a potential decline to the S1 support zone at 107,200; if this level is broken, it may quickly reach 106,800. If a short-term oversold bounce occurs, selling pressure still remains heavy; the rebound is limited by the MA5-MA10 and the middle band of Bollinger bands (resistance in the 108,900–110,600 range). Trading advice: Short-term mainly consider shorting on rallies; watch for small rebound opportunities around 10,580–10,720 for quick profit-taking, with a stop loss placed above 109,000; temporarily avoid long positions until a reversal pattern and significant volume increase are observed. Risk warning: Although a brief technical rebound may occur on the 4-hour chart, the downward trend remains prominent, so avoid counter-trend bottom fishing.