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Binance BTCUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 15, 2025 15:08
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

115200-116000

Mark Price

117143.0

Actual Price

117082.07

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.097624, with price near the lower band and far from the middle band, indicating a generally weak and bearish trend with high rebound resistance.
  • The MACD values (dif at -156.22, macd at -948.25) show a clear strong death cross, with downward momentum persisting.
  • RSI indicators across different periods (rsi6 33.59, rsi12 32.78, rsi14 40.22, rsi24 41.10) are all in weak zones with no signs of reversal, indicating a bearish force.
  • The KDJ indicator is extremely low (k 18.11, d 26.94, j 0.45), confirming a bearish state with a high probability of further declines.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.8783; although buy and sell account ratios are above 1, they lean towards holding, indicating weak buying momentum with bears slightly in control.
  • The large account holding ratio is somewhat bullish at 2.11, but the account count ratio is only 1.30, showing no consensus among chip distribution, contradicting the short-term bearish trend.
  • DMI indicator shows dmi_minus > dmi_plus (33.02 > 19.97), combined with a low ADX of 22, indicating a downward trend with limited strength.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT current candlestick pattern is generally in a weak oscillation zone following a short-term decline, with the Bollinger Bands indicator showing price close to the lower band, indicating considerable further downside space. The middle band and resistance levels above are prominent, making rebounds within the short cycle unlikely. The MACD shows a strong death cross, indicating sustained downward momentum with no signs of easing; further testing of lower support levels is expected. The RSI indicators across multiple periods are all at low levels, suggesting market sentiment is weak. The oversold area has not yet turned bullish, so short-term rebound prospects are weak. All three lines of the KDJ indicator are at extremely low levels; combined with large account holdings, although overall bullish positions still exist, market trading sentiment is more bearish, preventing effective upward movement. Trading volume and funding rates show no obvious anomalies. The volatility range (ATR 1393) is limited, with decreasing amplitude, and short-term fluctuations are primarily downward. Based on technical pattern analysis and chip structure, the price over the next four hours is expected to continue testing the previous low support level (S1 above 114667). A range of 115200-116000 is expected to oscillate; if S1 is broken, short-term risk increases. If support holds, a small rebound may occur, but rebound space is limited. In summary, it is recommended to observe or initiate lightly structured short positions at support areas, place stop-loss orders at support, and reference take-profit levels around 115200. When reaching the lower edge of the range, risk control should be emphasized. Should strong capital influx or indicator reversal patterns appear, strategies should be adjusted promptly.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(33.5949) rsi12(32.7887) rsi14(40.2214)
  • MACD:dif(-156.2278) dea(317.8994) macd(-948.2544)
  • MA:ma5(118431.84) ma10(118431.84) ma20(119940.96)
  • Boll:up(123420.75) mid(119940.96) down(116461.18)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:134106.023 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.98%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.1867
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 15, 2025 15:08

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd2682

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.