LogoDeepredict

Binance BTCUSDT 30m Trend Prediction

Aug 05, 2025 14:20
30m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

112660-113530

Mark Price

113548.3

Actual Price

112684.43

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Bands percent_b is -0.095696, indicating the price has broken below the middle band and is approaching the lower band, with short-term downside risk.
  • MACD is negative with DIF and DEA both declining; MACD is significantly negative, indicating increasing downward momentum.
  • RSI6 is low at 19.65, and RSI14 is at 41.9, both in the oversold zone. While there is potential for a short-term rebound, no clear divergence signals have appeared.
  • KDJ J-value is extremely low at 9.69, indicating an oversold condition, but the K and D lines still favor the weak side, increasing the likelihood of a weak rebound or consolidation.
  • DMI -DI is significantly higher than +DI, with ADX at 24.379, indicating trend continuation with a bearish bias.
  • Large account long-short ratio exceeds 1.8, yet the price has not stabilized, possibly due to passive high-leverage longs, raising caution for further liquidation risks.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is around 1.0461, slightly bullish, but funding rates are low; bullish sentiment is suppressed by ongoing market declines.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT short-term downward trend is apparent, with candlesticks breaking below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and continuing to approach the lower band. The range of fluctuations has slightly narrowed, indicating signs of control by the bears. The MACD negative value has increased without signs of reversal. The absence of effective bullish divergence suggests that the downward momentum has not yet finished. Short-term, it may continue to decline inertially, with limited rebound potential. Although oversold indicators like RSI and KDJ suggest a short-term rebound demand, the overall volume has not expanded. The future market favors a correction followed by continued downward pressure. Pay attention to quick breaks below support levels S1 (113,529.6) and S2 (112,660). The DMI negative line leads, indicating short-term bears hold the advantage. The ADX remains in the trend continuation zone, corresponding to the current weak downward market environment. Large accounts show an unusually high long-short holding ratio but struggle to organize a counterattack, with risks of passive forced liquidation. Active buying and selling are relatively balanced, but there is a lack of sustained buying pressure from major players. If the price breaks below support S1, the short-term could test the S2 (112,660) area, and in extreme cases, potentially test S3. Trading suggestion: observe the market short-term or take light short positions following the trend. For rebounds that do not cross above MA5 and the previous middle band, consider shorting on rallies, with a stop loss set above 114,350 (near the Bollinger middle band). The short-term target is focused on S2.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(19.6537) rsi12(37.4247) rsi14(41.922)
  • MACD:dif(-135.0352) dea(-68.0718) macd(-133.9269)
  • MA:ma5(114071.34) ma10(114071.34) ma20(114358.44)
  • Boll:up(115037.42) mid(114358.44) down(113679.45)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:102678.214 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.29%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.4248
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 05, 2025 14:20

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-30m-forecast-2025-upd2184

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.