Binance BTCUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

BTCUSDT short-term cycle price has been continuously declining and is now approaching the lower Bollinger Band. Both MACD and moving average systems exhibit a clear bearish trend, indicating that selling pressure prevails. RSI has briefly stabilized from oversold levels but no reversal signals have been observed, suggesting that the downward momentum persists. The ATR and DMI negative indicators are higher than positive ones; with ADX above 50, the trend is strong, confirming a high probability of a bearish trend. Active buy-sell ratio is below 1, to some extent implying retail funds are not strongly stepping in as buyers, and the off-exchange market sentiment is warming towards watching and waiting. Although the multi-bin indicator leans bullish, the account structure indicates potential short-term manipulation or main force reduction, requiring caution against 'false bullishness with actual weakness.' The support level around 83,786 is a key technical threshold in this cycle. If it cannot be maintained, it may test the lower Bollinger Band and the bottom edge of the target range within the next hour. In terms of volume, although成交额 is high, no significant rebound with increased trading volume has formed, mostly panic trades. The candlestick pattern also shows a high-level 'head-and-shoulders' formation, and downward risk release needs further observation of support validity. Overall, the short cycle maintains a cautious bearish stance, with a target range of 84,000–85,500. If it quickly breaks below 83,786, further downside risk should be guarded against. Without clear reversal signals, aggressive contrarian buying is not recommended. Stop-loss can be set above 86,000. The current trend is primarily bearish; wait for reversal signals before adjusting strategy.