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Binance BTCUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Aug 12, 2025 03:23
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

117800-120000

Mark Price

118928.62

Actual Price

118926.94

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.28836, with the price leaning towards the lower band and the bandwidth being relatively narrow, indicating short-term weak oscillation.
  • MACD remains significantly negative (differences of -261.68, and MACD at -291.40), suggesting ongoing bearish momentum without signs of reversal.
  • RSI6 is approaching overbought territory (63.95), but RSI14 and RSI24 are at 33.85 and 30.61 respectively, both in weak zones, indicating limited rebound strength and clear short-term resistance.
  • Long-short holdings and large trader ratios both favor the bulls (large trader long-short ratio of 2.1776, active buy-sell ratio of 1.0803), indicating strong support below and limited bearish force.
  • KDJ shows signs of low-level recovery (K: 42.16, D: 33.98, J: 58.51), with short-term oscillation and no strong unilateral trend.
  • Support and resistance levels show the current price near support zones, with a higher probability of fluctuation within 117,388-119,812 in the short term.
  • ATR and volatility are relatively low, indicating that the short-term trend is likely to continue sideways.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Combining the 1h candlestick pattern and major technical indicators, BTCUSDT experienced a short-term dip below the lower Bollinger Band, followed by a slight rebound, generally trading below the 119685.3 (MA20, middle band), with localized weak oscillations and consolidations. The MACD histogram remains long and shows no signs of shortening, indicating that the momentum remains bearish; short-term stabilization signs are unclear, and no reversal point has been confirmed. Although the RSI6 shows a slight rebound, other period RSIs are all low, indicating weak rebound momentum and limited short-term upward energy. The large trader holding long-short ratio exceeds 2, showing some support below; the active buy-sell ratio and long-short account ratio also favor the bulls, sustaining the consolidation pattern. The moving average system, MA5 and MA10, are close to the current price, suggesting that short-term moving averages are exerting a certain constraining effect on the price, making significant breakthroughs unlikely; it is expected to oscillate within the 117,800-120,000 range, with a new trend only emerging upon a strong breakout of this zone. It is recommended that short-term trading focus on range-bound buying low and selling high, strictly setting stop-losses, and monitoring MACD, Bollinger Bands, and volume changes. If the price breaks above 120,000, attention should be paid to overhead resistance; if it drops below 117,800, caution is advised regarding increasing correction risks.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(63.9466) rsi12(27.1929) rsi14(33.8461)
  • MACD:dif(-261.6803) dea(-115.9789) macd(-291.4028)
  • MA:ma5(118876.6) ma10(118876.6) ma20(119685.3)
  • Boll:up(121528.53) mid(119685.3) down(117842.07)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:174158.738 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.24%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.0483
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 12, 2025 03:23

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd2497

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.