LogoDeepredict

Binance BTCUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Aug 01, 2025 08:05
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

113800-114700

Mark Price

114807.88

Actual Price

114977.97

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.167232, with the price close to the lower band, indicating a short-term weak trend.
  • MACD values are -DIF -766.687, DEA -644.7508, with expanding negative values, indicating continued bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is only 4.2953, RSI14 is 16.9419, both extremely oversold, showing rapid short-term declines but not yet bottoming out.
  • Moving average system shows MA5 and MA10 have been broken below MA20, MA50, and MA200, with an obvious bearish arrangement.
  • KDJ values are K=36.85, D=36.75, J=37.03; although approaching oversold, no clear rebound signals are present.
  • DMI indicates DMI_plus at 10.751, less than DMI_minus at 34.7656; ADX is high at 36.11, suggesting a strong downward trend and momentum.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is 0.9731, with limited active buying; large bullish accounts have decreased, weakening short-term capital driving forces.
  • Amplitude is -3.216, with continuous large-scale corrections, with momentum concentrated in the bears.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT has experienced a sharp decline in the past hour, with the current price approaching the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a highly bearish technical outlook. Multiple key indicators—including MACD, RSI, DMI—all point to a strong downward trend, with no sign of a rebound emerging. The candlestick chart shows increased trading volume over the past few hours accompanied by rapid drops, likely indicating panic selling. All important moving averages have been broken downward, with MA5/10/20/50/200 exhibiting a bearish alignment, and market sentiment weakening. RSI6 has become extremely oversold (below 5). Although there is a short-term technical rebound demand, the overall downward trend remains dominant, limiting the rebound potential. The MACD green bars continue to expand, making it difficult to form an effective short-term rebound. A significant rebound would only be possible after sufficient decline in bearish momentum. The DMI and ADX structures show a high strength of the bearish trend. In the short term, the rebound is unlikely to alter the downward trajectory, with support levels between 113,800 and 114,700. A drop below 113,800 should raise concerns about accelerated panic selling. Active order book data and long/short positioning both indicate increased capital caution, with enhanced stop-loss and wait-and-see attitudes. Although large accounts still hold positions, the bullish margin has narrowed, indicating weak short-term rebound strength. It is expected that the current market will continue to weaken and fluctuate downward over the next hour, with primary support between 113,800 and 114,700. A minor technical rebound may occur in the short term, but the overall trend remains bearish. Trading suggestion: primarily observe; aggressive short positions can be arranged near 114,800 with a stop-loss above 115,500 and a target at 113,800. If a sharp rebound occurs, exercise caution in chasing shorts and wait for a new directional decision.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(4.2953) rsi12(23.2248) rsi14(16.9419)
  • MACD:dif(-766.687) dea(-644.7508) macd(-243.8724)
  • MA:ma5(115215.4) ma10(115215.4) ma20(116397.01)
  • Boll:up(118812.52) mid(116397.01) down(113981.5)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:169087.005 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.28%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3518
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 01, 2025 08:05

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd2016

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.