Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
113900-115000
Mark Price
115257.8
Actual Price
115470.42
Prediction Result
From the 1-hour candlestick chart, the price has been oscillating downward over the past several hours, testing the lower Bollinger Band multiple times without noticeable volume-driven rebound, indicating a short-term bearish trend. The indicators suggest market momentum is skewed to the downside. The MACD exhibits a clear death cross with the moving averages, indicating an obvious bearish trend. Multiple RSI values are approaching or have fallen below the oversold zone, suggesting potential short-term technical rebounds, but the prevailing weakness dominates. Although the active buy-sell ratio and the large account long-short positioning ratio show some bullish bias, the number of major accounts has not widened the gap, indicating that major funds are largely watchful or engaged in short-term speculation, with no significant increase in trading volume. Currently, ATR volatility remains at mid-to-high levels, and the ADX indicates a strengthening trend. If subsequent volume surges lead to a sharp sell-off, there remains room for further downside. The DMI signals favoring bears are clear; thus, bottom fishing for a rebound is not recommended. The S1 support level below is 108,273. However, considering the current structure, the probability of falling below S1 within the next hour is low. In the short term, focus primarily on whether the 113,900–115,000 range establishes support; if not, the price may test previous lows again. Based on the comprehensive technical patterns and capital flow feedback, a cautious stance is advised. Aggressive short positions with limited size may be considered for short-term trading. If decline reaches the 113,900–115,000 range with volume absorption, low-cost entries could be evaluated. Avoid blindly chasing longs; strict stop-loss orders should be set below 114,000. Take profit should be prioritized for short-term targets, with partial exits scheduled accordingly. Under the current price level, it is prudent to maintain a cautious bearish outlook. Only if there is a clear reversal with increased volume and major force signals should one consider short-term rally opportunities.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jul 25, 2025 14:50
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1845
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.