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Binance BTCUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 25, 2025 14:50
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

113900-115000

Mark Price

115257.8

Actual Price

115470.42

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.223954, with the price close to the lower band, indicating a risk of downward breakout.
  • The moving average system is arranged bearishly, with MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50, showing strong short-term resistance from moving averages.
  • Both DIF and DEA of MACD are negative, and the MACD histogram continues to widen, indicating persistent bearish momentum.
  • The RSI combination (rsi12/rsi14/rsi24 all between 30 and 40) is on the verge of oversold, suggesting further short-term decline is possible.
  • In KDJ, J value exceeds K and D but remains around the midline, implying weak rebound potential.
  • DMI signals show bears are dominant (dmi_minus significantly higher than dmi_plus), and ADX at 39.5 indicates trend strengthening.
  • Although the active buy-sell ratio and large account holding ratio lean bullish, no effective volume increase has been observed, casting doubt on sustained bullish confidence.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the 1-hour candlestick chart, the price has been oscillating downward over the past several hours, testing the lower Bollinger Band multiple times without noticeable volume-driven rebound, indicating a short-term bearish trend. The indicators suggest market momentum is skewed to the downside. The MACD exhibits a clear death cross with the moving averages, indicating an obvious bearish trend. Multiple RSI values are approaching or have fallen below the oversold zone, suggesting potential short-term technical rebounds, but the prevailing weakness dominates. Although the active buy-sell ratio and the large account long-short positioning ratio show some bullish bias, the number of major accounts has not widened the gap, indicating that major funds are largely watchful or engaged in short-term speculation, with no significant increase in trading volume. Currently, ATR volatility remains at mid-to-high levels, and the ADX indicates a strengthening trend. If subsequent volume surges lead to a sharp sell-off, there remains room for further downside. The DMI signals favoring bears are clear; thus, bottom fishing for a rebound is not recommended. The S1 support level below is 108,273. However, considering the current structure, the probability of falling below S1 within the next hour is low. In the short term, focus primarily on whether the 113,900–115,000 range establishes support; if not, the price may test previous lows again. Based on the comprehensive technical patterns and capital flow feedback, a cautious stance is advised. Aggressive short positions with limited size may be considered for short-term trading. If decline reaches the 113,900–115,000 range with volume absorption, low-cost entries could be evaluated. Avoid blindly chasing longs; strict stop-loss orders should be set below 114,000. Take profit should be prioritized for short-term targets, with partial exits scheduled accordingly. Under the current price level, it is prudent to maintain a cautious bearish outlook. Only if there is a clear reversal with increased volume and major force signals should one consider short-term rally opportunities.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(51.0709) rsi12(40.103) rsi14(32.0853)
  • MACD:dif(-646.8712) dea(-641.5345) macd(-10.6734)
  • MA:ma5(116062.32) ma10(116062.32) ma20(116641.23)
  • Boll:up(119153.17) mid(116641.23) down(114129.28)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:250691.200 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.48%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2406
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 25, 2025 14:50

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1845

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.