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Binance BTCUSDT 1d Trend Prediction

Nov 04, 2025 03:48
1d
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

104500-106000

Mark Price

107044.78

Actual Price

101610.86

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.21921, with the price near the lower band, indicating significant downward pressure.
  • MACD (dif, dea, and macd all negative; macd value at -437.97) shows increased downward momentum.
  • KDJ lines are at low levels, with J at 5.88, extremely oversold; short-term rebound is possible but trend remains weak.
  • RSI is in the mid-low range (rsi6 at 32.42, rsi14 at 47.04), not extremely oversold but clearly bearish.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 0.9509, less than 1, indicating slightly stronger selling pressure.
  • DMI indicators (dmi_minus higher than dmi_plus) and low ADX suggest a weak and bearish trend.
  • Moving averages (ma5, ma10 below ma20 and ma50) form a short-term death cross structure.
  • Amplitude is -0.905, indicating a clear short-term decline.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT is currently near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands and the percent_b is very low, indicating that the price has been declining from a recent range and there is a possible further test of the lower support. All MACD indicators are negative and the histogram has not narrowed, showing a clear death cross pattern, with ongoing bearish momentum, suggesting a short-term weak trend. KDJ is in an extremely oversold state, which may lead to a technical rebound in the short term, but no clear signs of stabilization have appeared, and the overall trend remains downward dominant. Although the short-term RSI has not entered an extremely oversold area, it remains in a bearish zone, unable to support a rebound rally. The active buy-sell ratio and large holder holdings ratio indicate that major holders are slightly bullish (e.g., a long-short position ratio of 2.0070), but current account momentum is bearish, showing that market funds are tilted towards short positions. Major players are controlling the market while retail investor sentiment remains pessimistic. The DMI indicator's bearish strength remains greater than its bullish counterpart, and the ADX does not indicate trend strengthening, implying that the market is unlikely to reverse quickly. Moving averages are in a bearish configuration, making a short-term counterattack unlikely. The market is expected to continue downward, with key support zones in the 104,500-106,000 range; breaking below this increases risk significantly. Trading volume remains high, but there has been no volume-price coordination indicating a rebound, and capital flow still supports the downward trend. Attention should be paid to whether the support near 104,500 is broken; if breached, bearish momentum may continue to accelerate. Risk prevention should be prioritized; avoid blindly bottom-fishing. If a low buy-in is desired, strictly control positions and set stop-loss below 104,000. Rebound participation should only occur after observing intraday candlestick reversal signals.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(32.4297) rsi12(41.3963) rsi14(47.0421)
  • MACD:dif(-1394.4042) dea(-1175.417) macd(-437.9744)
  • MA:ma5(108735.74) ma10(108735.74) ma20(109618.56)
  • Boll:up(114218.55) mid(109618.56) down(105018.57)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:169828.297 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.67%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.2206
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 04, 2025 03:48

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-1d-forecast-2025-upd3902

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.