Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
102500-105500
Mark Price
106809.7
Actual Price
107288.1
Prediction Result
The comprehensive indicators such as Bollinger Bands, MACD, RSI, etc., show that the current market structure of BTCUSDT is highly bearish. All short-term momentum metrics are hovering in the oversold zone, and no clear bottoming structure has appeared on the daily chart. The lower Bollinger Band is near 104631, and although the current price is only one line away from the lower band, the bandwidth is at a mid-range level, indicating that if the price breaks below the lower band, there is room for inertia-driven further decline. The extremely low percent_b value reinforces the weak market bias. The MACD remains in negative territory with expanding negative values, showing no signs of trend reversal. It is expected that short-term prices will continue to probe downward. Coupled with the extremely low RSI, this indicates that rebound is difficult and buying strength is insufficient. Both KDJ and DMI indicators clearly support the current strong downtrend, contrasting with recent periods of adjustment or consolidation. The low volatility growth trend further suggests a strong short-term downward inertia. Although the long-short account ratio and large trader positions show some support, the subjective buy-sell structure and funding rates indicate that bears are still favored. The market remains cautious with a wait-and-see attitude. Key supports to watch are the lower Bollinger Band at 104631 and support point S1 at 98115. If during trading the price falls below the 104600 level, short-term stop-loss cascades are likely to occur, with the target zone dropping to 102500–105500 with high probability. Investors are advised to exercise caution and refrain from attempting to countertrend rebound. Aggressive short positions can be taken on minor rallies between 105500–106500 with a stop loss above MA5 (109000). If the price breaks below 104600, there's a chance to test 102500. In a very weak trend, sudden downward risks, such as stop-loss cascades, should be guarded against. If price stabilizes on the support zone (102500–104600) with increased volume and forms a daily bullish engulfing bottom, one might consider incremental low-level rebounds. Currently, risk management is paramount to avoid blindly catching the bottom.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Oct 18, 2025 10:13
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-1d-forecast-2025-upd3662
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.