Deepredict
Binance BTCUSDT 1d Trend Prediction
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
107200-111000
Mark Price
111356.3
Actual Price
114460.4
Prediction Result
Analysis Basis:
- The current price is significantly below the middle Bollinger Band and close to the lower band; the percent_b is only 0.271289, indicating high short-term downward pressure.
- MACD shows the DIF and DEA lines are both positive but the fast line is sharply descending; the MACD histogram is at -2021.6485, signifying strengthened bearish momentum.
- RSI6 is only 14.5675, in oversold territory; RSI14 and RSI24 are both below 50, reflecting a weak trend.
- The J value in KDJ is far below K and D, at 27, indicating weak momentum; short-term weakness persists.
- DMI shows a minus DMI (36.31) significantly higher than the plus DMI (16.69), suggesting a dominant bearish trend; the ADX is 31.84, indicating a clear trend direction.
- The active buy-to-sell ratio is 0.8171, showing weaker buying strength than selling, with reduced active capital.
- Although large traders still hold predominantly long positions, the divergence with price suggests potential risk of a shift from bull to bear.
- The amplitude is negative, indicating a weak short-term market; with the short-cycle support at 107211.5 being nearby, watch for the risk of downward breach.
Based on the K-line chart trend, BTCUSDT recently retreated from high levels with volume expansion, the price has broken below multiple short- and medium-term moving averages (MA5/MA10/MA20), indicating a clear bearish weakness. The MACD has significantly converged and turned green, with strong bearish momentum. The daily RSI is extremely low, entering oversold territory, but there are no signs of a halt in decline, and the oversold conditions have not effectively reversed. The Bollinger Band width has widened, and the price is approaching the lower band, indicating that the market momentum is likely to continue the weakness. Caution is advised for a potential downward breakout of the support line (S1: 107211.5), which could lead to inertial decline. From the perspective of capital and account structure, although large traders remain predominantly long, the market's active buying willingness has weakened. The actual price has diverged from institutional confidence. Volatility (ATR 4109) has increased, with intra-day fluctuations remaining large. If support levels are broken, targets may shift downward to the 108000-107200 range. If stabilized, a slight rebound could occur towards approximately 111000. It is recommended to reduce positions on rallies; currently, aggressive long entries are not advisable. Wait for a breakdown below the 107200 support level and observe if a strong reversal candlestick pattern appears before considering position adjustments. Prioritize risk control.
Technical Indicators Analysis
- RSI:rsi6(14.5675) rsi12(45.5183) rsi14(48.799)
- MACD:dif(362.4404) dea(1373.2646) macd(-2021.6485)
- MA:ma5(115893.44) ma10(115893.44) ma20(116301.76)
- Boll:up(127113.15) mid(116301.76) down(105490.38)
Market Indicators
- Volume:150548.528 (24h)
- Volatility:2.65%
- Long/Short Ratio:1.4021
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Oct 12, 2025 05:02
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-1d-forecast-2025-upd3576
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.