Binance BTCUSDT 1d Trend Prediction

BTCUSDT is currently in an obvious weak adjustment phase, with daily chart momentum indicators and multi-timeframe trend indicators both indicating a dominant bearish trend. The MA5/MA10 have crossed below all medium- and long-term moving averages, forming a typical 'death cross', with historical statistical probabilities of decline exceeding 70%. The Bollinger Bands' lower band is converging, with declining amplitude and volatility, increasing the likelihood of a downward breakout in the near term. The KDJ indicator is extremely subdued, indicating that market momentum and trend pressure have not yet fully released, suggesting potential further downside space in the short term. Although the large-cap holdings ratio shows some funds increasing long positions, overall market buying and selling activity remains weak (below 1, at 0.9902), raising doubts about the sustainability of the bulls. The funding rate is slightly positive but lacks practical driving force. Trading volume has not increased; volatility and amplitude are relatively low, indicating that funds have not yet reallocated. A break below 110,000 may test support levels at 108,700 (Bollinger lower band plus short-term support), possibly approaching S1 at around 98,115.4. Short-term investors are advised to adopt a bearish stance, attempting range shorts or selling on rallies, with target ranges between 108,700 and 110,200. If individual large-cap stocks rebound and encounter resistance at moving averages such as MA10 or MA20, partial profit-locking is recommended to prevent being caught in a rebound correction. Stop-loss should be set above 112,000 (around the Bollinger middle band and MA20). Profit-taking can be conducted incrementally at levels around 109,000 and 108,700, avoiding chasing lows in short-term trades, and remaining cautious of extreme volatility. If the market reverses sharply and breaks above 112,250 with unusual strength, prompt stop-loss and exit are advised. One should wait for clear bullish signals before re-entering positions, adopting a defensive bearish strategy.