Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
85000-85400
Mark Price
85696.0
Actual Price
85943.8
Prediction Result
From the candlestick chart, it is clearly observed that BTCUSDT is in a distinct downtrend. The price has continuously declined from the high of over 92,000 to the current level of 85,696, representing a significant decline. Technical indicators are broadly bearish: Bollinger Bands show the price below the middle band, approaching the lower band; RSI is in a weak zone without signs of oversold rebound; MACD remains in negative territory, indicating ongoing downward momentum. The moving average system displays a bearish alignment, with the current price having broken below MA5 (85,701), MA10 (85,759), and MA20 (85,888), only slightly above the support level S1 (85,073). The DMI indicator is a key signal: DI- significantly leads DI+, and the ADX is relatively high, indicating a strong and sustained downtrend. The ATR volatility is 293, reflecting increased market fluctuations. Funds data shows a buy-sell ratio of 1.1456, slightly leaning bullish, but technical bearish signals are stronger. The large traders’ long-short holding ratio of 2.23, though leaning bullish, could face stop-loss pressures if technical support is broken. Support and resistance analysis: The key support level is at 85,073 (S1); a breach could lead to further decline. Resistance is in the range of 90,599 to 92,719, which is unlikely to be reached in the short term. Trading volume increased during the decline, confirming selling pressure. The funding rate is 0.00002052, positive but low, indicating rising capital costs for bulls but not yet extreme. Overall judgment: The technical outlook is broadly bearish with a clear downward trend. It is recommended to monitor the 85,073 support level; if broken, further decline to the 84,500–85,000 range may occur. In terms of operations, consider waiting for a rebound to 86,000–86,300 before considering short positions, with strict risk and position control.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Dec 16, 2025 04:55
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4907
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.