Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
90150-90600
Mark Price
90674.44
Actual Price
90412.81
Prediction Result
BTCUSDT exhibits a clear retracement tendency within the 15-minute cycle: moving average bearish alignment, price operating along the lower Bollinger Band, RSI indicators collectively in oversold territory without signs of rebound, indicating that while the decline has some relief, the bearish momentum remains intact. The MACD indicator is significantly negative, and the bears' volume capacity is still expanding. The KDJ remains generally low, with no bullish golden cross observed, implying a lower probability of a strong short-term rebound, possibly maintaining a brief weak sideways trend with a downward overall direction. The DMI is dominated by the bears, indicating a downward trend, which suggests weak support from the bulls. The active buy/sell ratio is slightly below 1, showing that selling pressure still dominates the market. Although the long/short position ratio and major account holdings data lean bullish, considering the price, indicators, and trading behavior, it can be inferred that major investors' long positions are mainly for locking in profits or hedging and are not actively driving the price up. Short-term support ranges between 90150-90600. If broken below 90150, bulls will face further stop-loss pressure, with S2 (86159.9) potentially becoming a new target. Trading advice is to adopt a wait-and-see approach. Aggressive traders may look for ultra-short-term rebounds near 90150, but the overall probability favors downward testing of support, with strict stop-loss set below 90000. After this decline, attention should be paid to whether volume increases and whether a low-position KDJ golden cross occurs. If subsequent volume-driven reversal signals appear on candlesticks, consider gradually entering positions to anticipate a rebound; otherwise, patience is recommended until a clearer bottom formation is observed. Risk warning: Should the market suddenly have good news or an extremely bullish input of buying power, timely profit-taking and stop-loss adjustments are necessary. The overall approach should focus on risk control, defensive positions, and quick trading.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Dec 05, 2025 14:11
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4703
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.