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Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 26, 2025 12:56
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

86050-86630

Mark Price

86659.0

Actual Price

86594.6

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Bands percent_b is at 0.25, with the current price near the lower-middle band, indicating a weak and bearish bias.
  • MACD remains in negative territory (dif: -215.0136, dea: -180.9415, macd: -68.1442), with bearish momentum unwaned.
  • RSI across 6/12/14/24 periods are 39.99, 44.62, 36.87, and 28.93 respectively, all below 50, suggesting overall weak momentum.
  • KDJ lines are all around 39, with no clear reversal signals; momentum is neutral to weak.
  • Moving averages are arranged as MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200, confirming a bearish structure.
  • DMI shows dmi_minus (31.87) significantly higher than dmi_plus (13.47), with an ADX of 28.32, indicating a strong bearish trend dominance.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 0.93, with buying weaker than selling, indicating short-term selling pressure dominates.
  • Support zones at S1 (86,628.4) and S2 (86,061.1) show no signs of upward recovery yet.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT is currently in a clear short-term retracement phase, with the price just breaking below the Middle Band of the Bollinger Bands, positioned within the lower-mid band area. Market confidence is relatively weak, with no signs of bullish intervention. The MACD momentum bars continue to expand, with the moving average system arranged in a bearish configuration. The RSI across multiple timeframes remains in the weak zone without overbought rebound signals, indicating a high probability of continued correction in the short term. The intraday active buy-sell ratio is below 1, indicating persistent selling pressure. The DMI indicator's bearish momentum significantly exceeds the bullish momentum. The ADX is at a relatively high level, suggesting that the current downtrend has substantial strength and persistence. Although the large trader long-short accounts/positions ratio is bullish, this may be due to high leverage hedging or lack of a definitive reversal, thus having limited short-term impact. The short-term retracement targets support zones at S1 (86,628) and S2 (86,061). If these are broken, the next support is tested at S3 (85,915). It is advised to follow the short-term trend, with light short positions on rebounds to 86,750–87,000, placing stop-loss above the MA20 (around 87,000). The target range is 86,050–86,630. Further confirmation of a reversal may occur if trading volume sharply increases or the KDJ indicator expands upward rapidly. Overall, the downtrend is clear; it is advisable to avoid counter-trend bottom fishing, strictly manage positions and stop-losses, and wait for a clear trend reversal before adjusting trading strategies.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(39.9979) rsi12(44.6216) rsi14(36.8673)
  • MACD:dif(-215.0136) dea(-180.9415) macd(-68.1442)
  • MA:ma5(86656.54) ma10(86656.54) ma20(86984.13)
  • Boll:up(87625.87) mid(86984.13) down(86342.4)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:141911.344 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.19%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.4783
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 26, 2025 12:56

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4580

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.