Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

The current BTCUSDT 15-minute level shows a short-term persistent decline with significant active selling pressure. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands and all moving averages are in a clear bearish alignment, indicating weak rebound momentum, and a reversal signal has not yet been established. In terms of capital flow, the active buy-sell ratio is 0.7914, with selling activity exceeding buying activity, suggesting short-term market sentiment is panicked. Although large-cap positions are extremely skewed towards longs, possibly indicating that large investors are attempting to bottom-fish on the left side, combined with volume-price behavior, short-term rebounds are unlikely to be sustained, with bears dominating. The RSI across multiple periods is in oversold territory, but no reversal signals are observed. Coupled with the KDJ indicator being flat across three lines, this synergy suggests that overselling does not necessarily imply an imminent rebound; typically, one must wait for a KDJ golden cross or RSI to rise above at least 30 before considering a short-term long entry. The MACD histogram shows prolonged expansion of bearish momentum columns, indicating that the downward trend inertia remains unbroken. The DMI indicator demonstrates a firm dominance of the bears, with ADX > 20 indicating a genuine trend strength, advising against bottom fishing and suggesting trading in the trend direction. Resistance levels are distant; the target support zone is at 86050-86650. During declines, observe whether support at S1 and S2 can hold; a break below may lead to further acceleration downward. If prices break below 86000, heightened vigilance is required for extra volume-driven falls. Based on the combined candlestick and volume structure, the probability of continuation of the downward movement is high during this period. Defensive strategies are recommended. Aggressive short positions may attempt entry at 86650 and above, with stop-losses above 87200. Short-term longs should wait for clear signs of trend exhaustion before entering, avoiding contrarian trades. Overall suggestion: At the current 15-minute level, avoid chasing rebounds, focusing on defending short positions. Conservative traders should adopt a wait-and-see approach. Aggressive shorts target 86500-86050, following the major investor positions while managing capital risk.