Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Based on the recent 400 intervals of 15-minute K-line data, BTCUSDT experienced a rapid rally followed by sustained consolidation, and has now returned to a decline zone. Regarding moving averages, MA5 and MA10 are below MA20, MA50, and MA200, indicating that the short-term has broken below key support MA lines, signifying a weakening trend. The MACD indicator is extremely bearish, with MACD at -164, and the divergence between DIF and DEA is intensifying, indicating strong downward momentum. The RSI is mostly at extreme lows, showing insufficient rebound strength and warning of ongoing decline inertia. All three lines of the KDJ are at low levels, especially with J below zero, reflecting that the short-term downtrend has not ended, and the market has yet to reach a strong rebound turning point; signals should be awaited after stabilization. Although large exchange traders' positions are predominantly long, and the buy-sell ratio this week is also skewed towards buying, the active buying pressure in the order book is insufficient, failing to effectively support the price trend. Looking at support and resistance zones, the recent short-term support point S1 is at 86,061. The price is expected to seek support in the range of 86,050 to 86,550. If this support is broken, further downside movement is possible. Volatility indicators (ATR increase, with low ADX) show that the market is entering a converging phase, but the bearish trend has not reversed. Attention should be paid to whether the market can stabilize later. Strategy recommendation: Avoid blindly bottom-fishing in the short term. Observe whether the price can find support around 86,050; otherwise, short-term downside momentum remains, and position control should be strict. If the price stabilizes within the support zone, gradual position-building for rebounds can be considered. Stop-loss is suggested below S2 at 85,915, with a rebound target set at 86,550.