Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

BTCUSDT 15-minute chart is currently below all moving averages, with all MAs (especially MA5, MA10, MA20) forming a downtrending parabolic shape and arranged in a bearish sequence. The short-term trend at the intermediate level is weak. The lower Bollinger Band at 86,547 has been noticeably tested, and the Percent B is negative (indicating a risk of breaking below the lower band). Market volatility, although not intense (ATR2024 at 379), shows a pattern of ‘weak rebound, strong decline’. Combined with RSI below 30, short-term extreme oversold conditions suggest a potential rebound, but volume and trend indicators show that the rebound strength is insufficient. The technical oversold oscillation risk remains suppressed. Large account holdings ratio and long/short account distribution indicate a bias towards accumulation, but combined with an active buy-sell ratio below 1 and negative funding rates, it is inferred that the large bullish positions have been trapped. The market lacks new bullish drivers, and only pressure to exit remains. Recent volatility and amplitude continue to decline, indicating less resistance to further decline. If there is no funds-induced reversal, the price may attempt to break below the previous low. Key supports to watch are S1 at 85,777.9 and strong support at S3 at 85,226.4. Short-term advice is to avoid bottom fishing and be cautious of inertia-driven declines. Only if signs of stabilization emerge should minor positions be considered for rebound trading. The main strategy is short positions with support zones at 85,700–86,500. If S1 is broken, further downside to 85,200–85,600 is possible. Operational advice: short positions can be gradually reduced at around 86,500. If prices break below this level, take profit in batches at S3. If the rebound is unable to surpass MA10, MA20, or the middle band of Bollinger Bands at 87,222.59, continue holding short positions, with a stop-loss recommended above 87,300. Overall, within the 15-minute timeframe, BTCUSDT has a high probability of decline, with insufficient rebound signals. Caution and observation are advised, leaning towards a bearish approach.