LogoDeepredict

Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 11, 2025 06:41
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

104200-104700

Mark Price

105072.53

Actual Price

105141.43

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger percent_b is 0.154643, and the price is close to the middle-lower band, indicating short-term weakness with room for decline.
  • The MACD dif and dea are both in significantly negative territory, and MACD bars have enlarged substantially, indicating short-term bearish momentum dominance.
  • RSI6, RSI12, and RSI14 are all well below 30 (at 34.79, 16.18, and 13.00 respectively), showing persistent overselling and short-term bearish control.
  • All three lines of the KDJ are at low levels, with the J line showing no signs of rebound, further confirming weak consolidation or downside movement.
  • MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are arranged in a bearish pattern; the price has fallen below MA5 and MA10, indicating a short-term downward trend.
  • The 24-hour funding rate is negative, suggesting the market holding costs are generally biased toward short positions.
  • The DMI indicates a stronger short-term downtrend, with a negative bias higher than positive, and an ADX of 21.56 indicating trend persistence; momentum is likely to continue.
  • Although active buy-sell ratios and large account positions are slightly bullish, combined with price movements and technical signals, capital-side forces are insufficient to reverse the market direction.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Comprehensive 15-minute level technical indicator analysis indicates that the current price of BTCUSDT is in a weak zone, operating below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with a clear downside for short-term decline. The low percent_b suggests the possibility of further testing of the lower band and support levels. The MACD displays an overall death cross state, and the bearish momentum bars have enlarged, showing ongoing selling willingness; the overall signal is biased towards bearishness. RSI across multiple periods (6, 12, 14) remains extremely weak, already in oversold territory, indicating sustained selling pressure in the short term, with buy-side capital not dominating. The three lines of the KDJ indicator are synchronized at low levels with no clear turning signals, suggesting a high probability of continued short-term downward inertia. The moving average system MA5, MA10, and MA20 are arranged in a bearish layout; after price broke through multiple support moving averages, the bearish trend is confirmed. Funding rates are negative, indicating a strong market-wide short sentiment. Recent signs of bullish reversals are absent; although the active buy-sell ratio and large account holdings are slightly bullish, they are unlikely to reverse the downward trend. Stop-loss is recommended at 106000, with target zone between 104200 and 104700. DMI data show bears dominate, with an ADX of 21.56 indicating trend continuation potential; support levels to watch are at 104615, corresponding to the lower Bollinger Band and S1 support. Trading volume has not significantly increased, suggesting no panic sell-off but sustained selling pressure; prices are expected to seek stabilization within the 104200-104700 range. If any abnormality occurs, attention should be paid to S2 (102857) and potential Bollinger Band break risks. If the price fails to rebound back above 105000, consider maintaining a cautious or short-term bearish stance. Stop-loss is advised at 106000, with targets within the 104200-104700 zone.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(34.7908) rsi12(16.1803) rsi14(13.0034)
  • MACD:dif(-268.4038) dea(-131.4504) macd(-273.9069)
  • MA:ma5(105110.06) ma10(105110.06) ma20(105904.08)
  • Boll:up(107110.5) mid(105904.08) down(104697.67)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:123777.749 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.15%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8727
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 11, 2025 06:41

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4118

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.