Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

BTCUSDT in the 15-minute cycle continues the previous downward pressure, with multiple moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) all turning downward, exhibiting clear bearish alignment characteristics. The overall candlestick pattern shows a rebound followed by a retreat. Although MACD has shown a low-level rebound, it remains hovering in the negative territory, indicating that price rebound momentum has not been effectively released, and short-term rebound strength is limited. The current Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.618837, with the price near the middle band and not breaching the upper band, suggesting limited rebound potential. Coupled with RSI6 at an extreme overbought level, short-term decline probability significantly increases. The KDJ indicator shows severe overbought conditions, with the J value far exceeding the normal range, which typically leads to short-term pullback corrections to release indicator pressure. The DMI indicator shows DI- > DI+ and a high ADX value, indicating that the current downtrend still has sufficient strength. The active buy-sell ratio and the long-short account ratio remain predominantly bullish, but during a downtrend, such bullish funding traits are more characteristic of passive trapped positions. Additionally, large traders’ indicators reveal that some bullish large accounts face risk exposure, making short-term trap or active deleveraging and selling pressure likely. Resistance zones are concentrated above 116,000. The current price is below support levels, with room to move downward. If the price breaks below the previous low of 107,000, further testing of the short-term support at the 106,600 range is expected. Overall, in the 15-minute cycle, the price is likely to oscillate downward with an expected target zone of 106,600–107,100. If a weak rebound occurs, it is recommended to mainly trade short positions on rebounds, strictly controlling short-term stop-losses, and beware of rebound traps encouraging long positions.