Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
106600-107200
Mark Price
107381.09
Actual Price
106966.0
Prediction Result
Based on 15-minute candlestick charts and Bollinger Bands data, the current price of BTCUSDT continues to operate near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Although short-term convergence is observed, there are no signs of stopping the decline, and the market is inclined to inertially test the support level downward. The moving average system is fully in a bearish arrangement, with MA5 to MA20 showing continuous decline, indicating the main upward cycle has been completely lost. The distance between MA50 and MA200 and the current price is significant, indicating resistance to short-term rebounds is relatively high. RSI across various periods remains in a bearish dominant zone. Despite some oversold sentiment in the short term, there is no reversal confirmation. Coupled with KDJ indicator lines trending downward, the probability of a short-term rebound remains low, and the overall weakness persists. The DMI bearish indicator is significantly strengthened, and the ADX indicates a strong downtrend. Alongside large amplitude fluctuations and continued selling by large accounts, the likelihood of inertial downward testing is high. Recent trading volume has shrunk and no clear volume surge indicating a bounce off the bottom has been observed. This suggests that capital participation is predominantly negative, and short-term rebound momentum is insufficient. While the main and retail accounts show certain long-side advantages, the active selling strategy dominates market activity, reflecting that under the background of capital disagreement, the bearish sentiment remains more robust. In summary, the next 15-minute period is characterized by an inertial downtrend. It is recommended to monitor the support zone between 106,600 and 107,200. Only if signs of stabilization appear should low-position accumulation be considered. Otherwise, do not rush to bottom-fish. If the price falls below the 107,000 whole support level, the downside space opens further, favoring short positions. For risk control, a stop-loss at around 107,400 is advised for bearish positions. If a strong rebound confirms a failure to sustain the decline, it is advisable to exit and observe. For attempts at low-position buying, patience is required until the price reverts to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands or significant volume signals appear.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Oct 30, 2025 17:16
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3822
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.