Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

BTCUSDT experienced a sudden increase in trading volume over the past hour, pushing the price to a short-term high, after which momentum depleted, indicating short-term bullish fatigue. The Bollinger Bands width has contracted, with the current price situated near the lower-middle band, and percent_b is only 0.31. Coupled with a MACD death cross, this suggests the weakness of a correction phase has not yet ended, and rebound strength remains insufficient. RSI6 indicates oversold conditions, implying a brief rebound demand, but the extremely low KDJ J value shows no signs of strengthening, indicating persistent downward inertia. In the short term, bullish and bearish forces are in tug-of-war, but downward probability is relatively higher. The ratio of bullish to bearish accounts and the large hedge fund holdings are both leaning bullish, suggesting large capital has not fully withdrawn. This may limit the extent of adjustment or facilitate quick stabilization, but short-term follow-up risks remain. Major trading volume has not been accompanied by sustained upward movement; instead, a retreat after reaching a high is observed. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish alignment, but in the short term, the price has effectively broken below key short-cycle moving averages (MA5-MA50). The significant moving average resistance indicates support needs confirmation from lower levels. Considering amplitude and ATR, the expected decline is not substantial. The short-term dip may target the lower Bollinger Band and prior support zone between 114,300 and 114,700, with potential for quick stabilization or rebound. Strategy recommendation: tightly control short-term risk, monitor the stabilization at 114,300 support. If broken, the next focus is support at 112,800 (S1); if a rebound occurs, watch for resistance near 115,350.