Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

The BTCUSDT 15-minute cycle currently shows signs of extreme overselling, with RSI indicators across multiple timeframes at low levels, reducing the safety margin. Although there is some technical rebound demand in the short term, the dominant trend remains bearish. The MACD indicates that bearish momentum is continuously strengthening, with no clear signs of stabilization or bottoming out. If the downward movement continues, the first support level S1 (122160) is highly likely to be tested, and there is even a possibility of probing down to the S2–S3 zones. The Bollinger Bands show that the price is rapidly approaching the lower band. Coupled with low trading volume, this scenario can trigger inertial declines or quick stop-loss sweeps during trading, making short-term rebounds unlikely. The divergence in active buying and selling, as well as the spread in long and short accounts and open interest ratios, indicates that the current market is mainly being defended by large capital players, while retail trader sentiment remains uniformly bearish, supporting a continued short trend. The moving average system (MA5, MA10, MA20) is arranged in a generally bearish configuration, with the current price significantly below the short- and medium-term moving averages, indicating strong technical pressure. Technical oscillators such as the KDJ remain persistently low, with weak rebound momentum, and the risk of short-term trend breakdown is significant. It is recommended to monitor the 121,500–122,300 range as the next target zone. Any rebounds within this range should be viewed as weak recoveries. Future operations should primarily follow the downward trend, with strict stop-loss placement.