Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

The current BTCUSDT price has fallen below multiple moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50), with only the MA200 providing support below, indicating a bearish overall structure. The Bollinger Bands are not yet fully contracted, but the price is close to the lower band, with reduced amplitude and lower volatility. However, the short-term trend shows an increased probability of downward breakout. Trading volume is concentrated on declining candles, and recent candles show no significant volume spike in rebound attempts. Bottom-fishing capital is not active, with the active buy-sell ratio being relatively high but ineffective in driving a rally. Funding rates remain positive, indicating strong bullish market sentiment, but real-market performance suggests that bullish forces may be locked-in or restrained. Both MACD and KDJ indicate strengthening bearish momentum, with limited room for short-term rebounds, making it more likely to test support levels downward. If the decline continues, the immediate short-term support is S1 at 108,333. If broken, support levels between 107,400 and 108,300 should be quickly identified. Conversely, if a short-term oversold condition recovers, resistance zones are around 109,400–109,500. In summary, within the next 15 minutes, the probability of a test of the 108,500–109,100 range is very high. It is advisable to observe and wait for a confirmed oversold rebound and structural change before entering the market. Strict stop-loss is recommended below 108,300 to prevent further volume-driven declines.