Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
107650-108200
Mark Price
108398.9
Actual Price
108371.0
Prediction Result
From the overall trend observation of the 15-minute K-line, BTCUSDT has continued to decline after falling back from the 113,000 level, with the moving average system showing a clear bearish alignment; short-term rebound strength is weak. The short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) are both below the MA20 and MA50, indicating that the current cyclic momentum remains downward and has not shown significant easing. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands is near 108,180, and the current price continues to operate below this band, signaling that the bulls lack strength to drive higher and that the bearish momentum is evidently dominant. Both MACD lines are below the zero axis, and the red histograms show no signs of convergence, indicating that the bearish dominance persists and low points are still likely to occur on the 15-minute chart. The RSI14 and RSI24 are both in clearly weak zones, suggesting that bulls have not effectively entered, and short-cycle rebounds lack sustained support. The KDJ indicator lines remain at low levels without a significant upward turn, indicating ongoing inertia to the downside; DMI shows a high certainty of downward trend, with no shift of funds towards bulls. Analyzing the active buying/selling ratio across exchanges and large trader behaviors, although large holders currently hold a high proportion of long positions, their active buying does not seem to be expanding, indicating that most funds are still waiting for more substantial support levels. Support levels are S1 at 108,155 and S2 at 107,654. The price is expected to bottom within this range in the short term; if S1 is broken, the price will likely test S2 (107,654). Short-term rebound space is limited to approximately the MA20/midline (108,600). Recent volatility, ATR, and trading volume suggest that during the downturn, panic selling has not emerged, indicating a tendency toward slow decline and bottom exploration. Short-term trading strategies may consider attempting long/short positions within the 107,650-108,200 range, with timely stop-losses upon breakout. Overall recommendation: In the short term, maintain a bearish trend outlook, primarily observing or lightly shorting in alignment with the trend, while closely monitoring support stability. Stop-loss is advised below the lower boundary of S2 at 107,650; if broken, proceed to exit immediately.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 31, 2025 12:10
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3075
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.