LogoDeepredict

Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 29, 2025 09:39
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

108600-109350

Mark Price

109627.01

Actual Price

109765.1

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percentage is at 0.187628, with the price close to and remaining near the lower band, indicating a weak market pattern, and no significant rebound has appeared from the lower band.
  • RSI6 is at 24.61, RSI12 at 10.63, RSI14 at 20.13, all indicating severe short- and medium-term overselling, with the downward momentum not yet stabilizing.
  • All MACD indicators are negative, with DIF and DEA both heavily declining, and the MACD histogram continues to expand in the bearish direction, demonstrating strong bearish momentum.
  • The KDJ lines are at low levels, but the J-value has not shown a prominent rebound, suggesting that the momentum has not yet reversed.
  • The MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are all in a bearish arrangement, with prices consistently below the moving averages.
  • The DMI shows a strong negative direction, with DMI minus at 34.82 and DMI plus only at 10.01; the ADX at 45.35 indicates a very strong and powerful downtrend.
  • Data such as active buy-sell ratio and the number of long and short accounts suggest that the overall market is bullish, but since the market is dominated by bears, there is suspicion of main force reversing positions, which is unfavorable for short-term longs.
  • Support and resistance levels show S1 at 109,350 and further support at S3 around 108,559.7. If weak support cannot hold, lower support levels may be tested.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT is currently operating near the lower Bollinger Band, with a negative amplitude. The 15-minute short-term cycle has broken below all mid-term moving averages, indicating a continuation of the downward trend. Although the market funding rate is slightly positive, active buying and selling, as well as large institutional long and short positions, all show bullish signals. However, the market remains predominantly bearish, with signs of manipulation to induce long positions. Currently, trend-following trading is preferred. The moving average system is diverging in a bearish manner, and multi-timeframe RSI indicators are in an extremely oversold state without signs of rebound, reflecting panic-driven sentiment. The downward pressure in the short term is considerable. The MACD histogram continues to expand in the bearish direction without divergence at the bottom, while KDJ oscillates weakly sideways. The probability of a short-term technical rebound is very low. Trading volume has not continued to expand, indicating that the decline is driven by low volume drops. If volume does not pick up, further testing of support levels below is likely. Technical resistance is above 109,350. If the 15-minute cycle fails to recover this level effectively, a further decline towards the S2 to S3 zone is highly probable, around 108,600. Overall, the trend remains clearly bearish with no bottoming signals. Short-term trading should focus on trend-following short positions, with target zones at 108,600-109,350. Buying the dip blindly is not advised until a clear rebound above 110,000. Trading advice: Consider light short positions on rallies. If prices rebound and do not surpass 109,650 or face resistance from the mid-term moving averages, increase short positions accordingly. Set stop-loss above 110,000. If the price falls below 108,600, beware of accelerated downside and possible panic selling.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(24.6117) rsi12(10.6346) rsi14(20.1328)
  • MACD:dif(-532.1703) dea(-468.7574) macd(-126.8259)
  • MA:ma5(109648.88) ma10(109648.88) ma20(110492.76)
  • Boll:up(111895.5) mid(110492.76) down(109090.01)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:114209.898 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.21%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8727
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 29, 2025 09:39

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3039

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.