Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

BTCUSDT is currently trading at or just above cluster support (S1 110484.0, lower Bollinger Band 110892.07). Multi-timeframe exhaustion is evident, but no bullish reversal signals have appeared in price action or momentum. MACD and all fast RSI readings are heavily oversold, yet price continues to fail tests of short-term moving averages, suggesting sellers retain firm control in the short term. Major volume clusters coincide with sharp sell-offs and failed bounces—the candle chart shows persistent supply absorption and urgent exit behavior from leveraged long positions. DMI and ADX both favor sustained trend-following shorts; the trend remains powerful and not exhausted on this 15m timeframe. While whale ratios remain bullish, this is likely misleading due to forced long liquidations (bear trap risk is growing, but not triggered yet); smaller accounts continue increasing short exposure, compounding drawdown potential. 15m candlestick structure is a clear stair-step grind lower. Each attempt to rebound to MA levels is met with volume spikes and rapid rejection. Any bounce toward 111100-111500 is a likely short entry, not a reversal. Risk approach: Recommended is to avoid counter-trend longs until clear bullish divergence and low-likelihood breakdown through 109900 and as low as 109500. Immediate support zone (109500-109900) likely to attract range trading and relief bounces in that area, provided no breakdown occurs on heavy volume. Strategy: Short-term trend is down—set tight stop-loss on any tactical long. If below 109500, expect acceleration lower. If a bounce forms, trail stops aggressively. Prioritize preservation of capital during this high-volatility corrective wave.