Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Based on current technical indicators, BTCUSDT is clearly in a short-term downward channel within the 15-minute cycle. The MACD shows a significantly negative value combined with an extremely low RSI, indicating persistent selling pressure and very weak short-term rebound momentum. The KDJ three-line bearish alignment with a very low J value suggests insufficient market bullishness. The Bollinger Bands' upper and lower bands are converging, with percent_b being negative, reflecting the current price being continuously constrained by the middle band of the Bollinger and approaching the lower band. If support at S1 (114070) is broken, there is a potential for further decline toward the S2 (113650) zone. The short-term moving average system is diverging into a bearish arrangement, especially with MA5 and MA10 significantly below MA20 and MA50, indicating price inertia favoring a downward trend. The DMI shows a persistent bearish trend; although the ADX is not high, indicating moderate trend strength, no reversal signals are observed. Regarding market funds, active long positions and large account holdings remain relatively high, but this likely reflects passive support from longs at higher levels; the market's resilience is insufficient. If support levels are lost, there is an increased risk of accelerated decline. Trading volume has not shown significant expansion, indicating that bearish forces have not been exhausted, and there are no signs of bullish counterattack. Short-term risks of further downward movement remain. Overall, in the next 15-minute cycle, BTCUSDT is expected to fluctuate weakly within the 114070-114500 range. A volume breakdown below S1 warrants caution for further testing S2 support. Short-term trading should consider cautious short positions or patiently wait for clear oversold signals before contemplating reversal to long positions. Stop-loss recommendations are set above 115000 (a fall below this level indicates a false bullish bounce), with a short-term target near 114100.