Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
113400-114000
Mark Price
114243.7
Actual Price
114369.02
Prediction Result
The BTCUSDT 15-minute chart currently shows a continuous decline from the high point without a clear rebound trend. The moving average system (MA5, 10, 20, 50) is arranged in a generally downward pattern, and the price has already reached the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a weak trend. Both RSI6 and RSI12 are in extreme oversold conditions. Although there is a technical rebound demand, there are no obvious reversal signals in terms of momentum at present. Short-term inertia suggests further downward movement, with support levels around S2 at approximately 113362. The MACD has widened its bearish crossover, and the green bars continue to grow, indicating that the market's bearish energy has not been clearly released. Rapid reversals are unlikely in the short term. The J line of the KDJ indicator is extremely low, but the K and D lines have not shown signs of bottoming out or reversing, suggesting the bearish trend is not over. Long positions should wait for clear bottom signals to appear. Although the long-to-short position ratio and large trader data are skewed towards the long side, the market trading volume and active buying and selling ratios show that funds are still abundant but sentiment remains unclear. The current overall volume does not support a strong rebound, indicating a high probability of structural shakeouts. Regarding support and resistance, S1 is close to the current price and is easily tested. If broken, it will test S2 at approximately 113362. Caution is advised for a potential downside break. It is expected that the next 15 minutes will likely see a weak oscillation within the 113400-114000 range. Overall judgment suggests that the short-term trend continues to inherit bearish inertia but is near a support level. Even if a rebound occurs, it lacks volume support for a transition to a strong rebound. Unless a rapid V-shaped surge occurs, the trend will continue downward seeking support before stabilizing. Trading advice: Long positions should strictly control position sizes and ideally wait for RSI and KDJ signals to reach extreme lows and then turn upwards. For short positions, consider modestly following the weak trend with a stop-loss set above 114500 to guard against extreme rebounds.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 04, 2025 05:52
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2155
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.