LogoDeepredict

Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 01, 2025 13:59
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

113600-114000

Mark Price

114241.32

Actual Price

115022.6

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at -0.112956, the price has broken below the middle band and is approaching the lower band, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
  • MACD indicator shows dif at -15.8109 and macd at -75.9298, both in a significant bearish state, with increasing negative momentum.
  • All RSI values (6, 12, 14, 24) are below 50, especially RSI6 at 21.82, indicating severe short-term overselling but no bottom formation yet.
  • KDJ J value is at -8.8599, below the zero lower limit, suggesting momentum release has not yet reached a trough point.
  • Moving average system (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50) all below MA200, forming a downward diverging trend, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
  • DMI shows dmi_minus significantly higher than dmi_plus, and ADX > 20, confirming bearish dominance with increasing trend strength.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.6189, indicating short-term selling pressure exceeds buying interest.
  • Although large institutional long-short positions favor long holdings, discrepancies exist between large holder positions and their account long-short ratios, implying some bulls have lost initiative.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT 15-minute level candlestick chart currently in a consolidation phase after a rapid decline, with nearly 400 candlesticks’ moving average system fully turning downward, indicating limited upward rebound momentum. MACD continues to expand green bars, a typical bearish signal, with no obvious bottom divergence signs observed yet. All RSI indicators across different periods are in oversold territory and continue to weaken, reflecting persistent short-term capital outflow. The KDJ three-line is rapidly declining, with the J-line breaking below -8, signaling an accelerated bottom-finding process. Bollinger Bands width has expanded, with the KU line nearing the lower band. Without strong buying intervention in the short term, there remains a risk of testing the lower band (11396) or even breaking below it. DMI indicators show bearish dominance (+DI significantly less than -DI), and the ADX value of 23 indicates a confirmed downward trend, implying the decline structure is genuine and has not yet ended. Volume data shows no large-scale support, with a low active buy-sell ratio, warranting caution as selling pressure continues to release. Although large institutional holdings and account ratios show some long positions remain intact, signs of significant capital withdrawal are evident, indicating weakened confidence in holdings; previous support levels have not yet reappeared. It is expected that BTCUSDT will continue to decline and seek a bottom within the next 15 minutes, with a target zone of 113600-114000, representing the lower support band. If short-term buying volume increases, a stabilization or rebound may occur; otherwise, the trend will likely continue probing downward support levels. If the short-term price falls below 113960-113600, caution is needed against accelerated downward risks. It is advised to be cautious with short positions, and to confirm volume and momentum changes before entering trades.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(21.8201) rsi12(41.7943) rsi14(38.4529)
  • MACD:dif(-15.8109) dea(22.154) macd(-75.9298)
  • MA:ma5(115234.32) ma10(115234.32) ma20(115150.01)
  • Boll:up(115903.51) mid(115150.01) down(114396.52)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:197897.776 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.26%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3838
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 01, 2025 13:59

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2027

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.