Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
114600-115000
Mark Price
115271.23
Actual Price
115364.9
Prediction Result
BTCUSDT current price is obviously near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with the bandwidth relatively narrowed, indicating a stage one-sided downward trend, but there is still inertial space below. All moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50, MA200) are above the current price, arranged in a diverging pattern for a bearish outlook, making it difficult to support a rebound at the current price level, and inertial downward movement should be watched to prevent further decline. The MACD indicator has remained in the negative zone without showing signs of bottom divergence, with bearish momentum dominating the market. Trading volume has increased during the decline, suggesting panic selling has not been fully released. Multi-period RSI indicators are all around or below 40, reflecting very weak buying power from the bulls, and despite being at a low level, there are no clear signs of a rebound. Resistance levels above the short-term are relatively strong. Although the J value of KDJ is relatively high, current significant divergence with K and D, combined with the overall downward inertia, suggests that the J value is likely to fall back in subsequent movements, and rebound sustainability is poor. Both DMI and ADX indicators show a downward trend with increasing strength, and there is an expectation of continued decline within 15 minutes, making trend-following strategies advisable. Active buy/sell ratio, funding rates, and large account structures indicate that the market has not seen substantial bottom-fishing funds or long positions accepting the payout, with major forces still dominated by bears. Overall judgment suggests that BTCUSDT is likely to continue seeking a bottom within the 15-minute timeframe, with a target range of 114,600 to 115,000. Maintaining support at the lower band could lead to a technical rebound, but it is not recommended to counter-trend attempt a rebound for now.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 01, 2025 01:55
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1996
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.