Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
118000-118500
Mark Price
118901.68
Actual Price
118884.7
Prediction Result
BTCUSDT is currently facing significant resistance at the 15-minute level; the Bollinger Band percentage is approaching the lower band, and the short-term price has broken below the middle band without any strong rebound. Despite extremely low RSI and J values indicating potential overselling, the negative divergence of MACD's ongoing expansion and the absence of bottom divergence signals suggest a weak rebound momentum, and a reversal has not fully materialized. All moving averages MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are above the current price, and there is a clear bearish alignment among the moving averages, further suppressing short-term price movements. Although active buying is relatively high, the account structure indicates a predominance of short positions and a notable retail/large fund imbalance leaning towards the short side. While large accounts are slightly bullish, they are insufficient to influence overall market sentiment positively. Consequently, bullish volume remains noticeably limited. Volatility and ATR are in moderate ranges; however, DMI- is significantly ahead, indicating a short-term dominance of a bearish trend. The ADX suggests that the downward momentum has not yet expanded to an extreme level, but the market lacks strong buy-back activity, and a bottom formation is awaited. Based on candlestick patterns, after prolonged declines, a short-term downtrend dominated by bears has formed, characterized by continuous drops and no long lower shadows at low levels. Major capital has not shown rapid accumulation, indicating that panic selling may be reoccurring. It is predicted that within the next 15 minutes, prices will continue to weaken inertly and seek support in the 118,000-118,500 range. If prices cannot find effective support at S1/S2 levels, it is advised to remain cautious and observe the market. Should clear reversal signals appear, re-entry can be considered.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jul 28, 2025 07:43
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1894
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.