Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 83%
Target Price
117250-117500
Mark Price
117860.5
Actual Price
117835.4
Prediction Result
From the candlestick chart trend, it can be observed that after a significant decline, there was a weak rebound in the early stage, but recently there have been continuous small bearish candles. The price remains under the moving averages overall, lacking buying volume support. The short-term moving average MA5 (117,919.62) is below MA10 and MA20, and all are below the longer-term MAs MA50 (118,074.51) and MA200 (117,340.85), indicating a bearish alignment of the moving averages. MACD, KDJ, and RSI all sit in the extreme bearish zones, with no signs of bottoming or stabilization. Market sentiment remains subdued, and short-term panic has not yet been fully released. The Bollinger Bands are extremely narrow, suggesting an increased likelihood of a breakout; however, the current price is approaching the lower band, combined with multiple weak signals, indicating a high probability of breaking below 117,500 in the short term. Support levels S2 (117,250) and S1 (117,418.9) form short-term bullish defenses. If broken, the price could enter a lower zone. It is advised to monitor the capital support effects at the S2 level. Although funding rates currently show no abnormalities, large account long and short positions are high, but there is no clear indication of capital inflow. Retail trader sentiment is generally bearish, and the active buy/sell ratio is only slightly above 1, showing limited buying pressure. With extremely low volatility, the ADX is slightly above 20, confirming the current weak trend but vulnerable to sudden volume shocks that could cause a breakout. Trading suggestion: Strictly observe; if the price falls below 117,418.9, consider short-term short entries with targets between 117,250 and 117,500. Do not aggressively bottom-fish before breaking below 117,250. Stop-loss advice: If the price rebounds and recovers above 118,000, carry out timely stop-loss and exit.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jul 27, 2025 09:32
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1869
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.