Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

BTCUSDT is demonstrating a clear shift of short-term trend momentum to the downside, confirmed by a series of lower highs and lower lows on the 15m chart. Price has broken below cluster support at 116200-116500, showing no convincing bullish reversal candles. Volume clusters during breakdowns (~6500 BTC per 15m period) are much higher than during recovery, indicating aggressive selling activity. Moving averages are aligned in bear mode, with price consistently closing below MA5, MA10, and MA20. The 200-period MA at 117747 remains far above the current spot, signaling mid-term bearish bias. The MACD histogram remains negative for multiple sessions, with no evident positive divergence, supporting the idea of an extended corrective wave. Momentum oscillators (RSI, KDJ) reflect no short-term exhaustion; KDJ values stagnating in the 40-45 zone are typical for a slow, grinding downtrend. While top position ratios suggest whales are attempting to maintain long exposure, breakdown of general account and open interest ratios close to parity indicate market-wide instability and no strong support for price inflection. Support at 115865 and 115123 (S1/S2) are likely targets in the coming 15m cycles. Should selling continue, price is expected to test the 115200-115600 zone, where volume and historical support may attract buyers for a potential short-term rebound. Tactical recommendation: Avoid countertrend longs until there is clear bullish divergence or a high-volume rejection candle. For intraday traders, selective short positions with tight stops just above the most recent swing high (116800) are warranted. Exiting shorts and considering small-size long scalp only if a reversal pattern emerges on sustained volume in the predicted support zone.