LogoDeepredict

Binance BTCUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 08:50
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

117000-117700

Mark Price

118473.1

Actual Price

118615.3

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current Bollinger Band's Percent_b is -0.065271; price has approached the lower band, with dominant diffusion oscillation and no signs of rebound.
  • The MACD indicator shows dif at -316, with the MACD histogram significantly negative, indicating strong bearish momentum and weakening of bulls.
  • RSI6 is at 12.4756, RSI14 at 18.968—both severely oversold—but short-term downward momentum remains strong, indicating extreme weakness.
  • All three lines of the KDJ indicator are at low levels, with J at -4, dominated by bear trend, with no rebound crossover yet.
  • The DMI indicator shows dmi_minus at 37.29, notably higher than dmi_plus; ADX is in the trend initiation zone, with bearish breakout downward.
  • Large trader long-short holdings ratio is 1.9171, while the number of large accounts is below 1 (0.843), indicating that large funds are still predominantly short, with profit-taking positions exceeding new longs.
  • The active buy-sell ratio and the ratio of long to short accounts are both below 0.7, suggesting the market's initiative and sentiment are biased toward the bears.
  • Price has broken below the MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50, with a clear bearish structure and structural decline.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Within the current 15-minute cycle of BTCUSDT, technical indicators collectively point to a strong short-term bearish trend. The Bollinger Bands are widening upward, with a negative percentage value, and the price is approaching the lower band without signs of stopping the decline. The MACD bearish momentum has significantly strengthened, with persistent increasing volume below the zero line, making a short-term rebound highly unlikely. Multiple time frame RSI remains low, and the KDJ indicator is also at extreme lows, indicating the downward movement has entered an accelerated release phase. Although there is short-term overselling, no bullish reversal or engulfing pattern has formed, and the bearish trend remains dominant. DMI and ADX suggest the market has clearly entered a trend-based decline channel, with strong bearish signals. Large capital flows are predominantly bearish overall, with only brief oscillations possible but unlikely to support a meaningful rebound. The holdings ratio of major traders is slightly inclined towards long positions; however, account distribution indicates that large traders predominantly control net short positions. Mainstream accounts do not show significant influx of long positions. Support levels are at 117,000 to 117,700. If these are broken, the price may test lower targets (e.g., S2: 117,412; S1: 117,663). If buying interest exceeds at these levels, a short-term oversold rebound may occur, but the overall trend remains downward after a rebound. It is advised to continue mainly short positions in the short term, and if a rebound occurs from oversold levels, to monitor the support zone at 117,000-117,700 for effectiveness. Strongly recommend setting stop-loss orders to guard against extreme market volatility.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(12.4756) rsi12(11.3366) rsi14(18.968)
  • MACD:dif(-316.5288) dea(-103.4058) macd(-426.246)
  • MA:ma5(118936.2) ma10(118936.2) ma20(119894.92)
  • Boll:up(121152.57) mid(119894.92) down(118637.27)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:176128.315 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.22%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.6681
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 08:50

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd1237

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.