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Binance BTCUSDT 10m Trend Prediction

Dec 01, 2025 17:03
10m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

83800-84300

Mark Price

84580.75

Actual Price

84696.38

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.537611, with the price near but above the middle band, yet not touching the upper band, indicating weak oscillation.
  • MACD is negative, with DIF greater than DEA; although there is rebound momentum, the overall MACD remains below zero, signifying ongoing weak correction.
  • The J value of the KDJ indicator is significantly depressed at 31.74, with candlesticks and D line trending downward, indicating insufficient momentum.
  • RSI6 is at 43.69, RSI14 at 47.79; both are below the middle band, suggesting overall bearish sentiment without oversold rebound signals.
  • Large traders' long-short position ratios are high (above 2.1), but the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.87; short-term active buying is insufficient, and selling pressure prevails.
  • The bullish arrangement of moving averages has been broken, with the current price below MA5/MA10/MA20/MA50/MA200, indicating entry into a downtrend channel.
  • The DMI+ is less than DMI-, indicating that trend momentum is bearish. The ADX stands at 22.87, suggesting the trend strength remains moderate.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT short-term cycle price has sharply declined from above 90,000, currently in a weak correction and oscillating at the bottom. The moving average system is fully suppressed, with dense resistance overhead, and no signs of structural rebound observed. The candlestick chart shows a rapid decline followed by a weak rebound on low volume, with an amplitude of -7.74, indicating that panic selling has not been fully cleared, and multiple attempts to bounce back have failed. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands is compressed downward, with the candlesticks approaching but not breaking through the middle band, suggesting ongoing pressure. Although the MACD histogram shows some recovery, the main trend has not reversed, and the KDJ indicator also indicates persistent bearish momentum. Although the large-holder positions are strong, the active buy-sell ratio and the number of short-term long and short accounts are insufficient; main traders are engaged in a tug of war but have not launched a significant rally. There is a clear intention to short at the highs. The trading volume does not show sustained expansion, indicating a high probability of a weak consolidation phase. The main focus in the next 10 minutes is on testing the lower Bollinger Band (83,839.41) and previous lows. Trading suggestion: Avoid bottom-fishing in the short term; monitor support around 83,800. If trading volume increases, consider low buying; if the price breaks down, the trend correction will continue. Risk warning: During a downtrend, refrain from adding positions counter to the trend until candlesticks show volume-based reversal. Aggressive investors may consider short positions at high levels with strict stop-loss above 84,000.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(43.69) rsi12(51.9) rsi14(47.7886)
  • MACD:dif(-189.6105) dea(-252.6922) macd(126.1636)
  • MA:ma5(84708.24) ma10(84708.24) ma20(84528.1)
  • Boll:up(85216.78) mid(84528.1) down(83839.41)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:258103.593 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.29%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.2321
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Dec 01, 2025 17:03

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd4660

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.