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Binance BTCUSDT 10m Trend Prediction

Nov 25, 2025 09:06
10m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

85900-86400

Mark Price

87029.4

Actual Price

86808.9

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Price near lower Bollinger Band (current: 87029.4, lower: 86943.9), percent_b is low (0.11), suggesting pressure near support zone.
  • Bollinger Band bandwidth is narrow, indicating contraction and heightened risk for a volatility spike, often resolved with a short-term down move.
  • All RSI values (RSI6: 25.57, RSI14: 33.70, RSI24: 23.71) are deep in oversold territory, but remain depressed, showing lack of buyer momentum.
  • MACD histogram negative (macd: -63.88, dif: -200.40), and no bullish divergence, confirming sustained bearish pressure.
  • Moving averages (MA5: 87053, MA10: 87234, MA20: 87361, MA50: 87746, MA200: 88087) show steep backward slope, with price below all major MAs.
  • KDJ (K: 17.93, D: 17.61, J: 18.57) indicates persistent bearish oversold momentum, without clear reversal.
  • DMI+ (10.2) far below DMI- (38.9), and ADX at 41.55% shows strong trend intensity to downside.
  • Buy/Sell ratio (0.6569) and top account ratios above 2.7 indicate whale accumulation, but overall market unwillingness to bid up spot price.
  • Support level S1 (85915) is immediately threatened; breach likely to accelerate sell-off.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT shows decisive breakdown characteristics in the most recent 10m candles. Persistent closes below all short-term and long-term moving averages signal dominant selling activity. Bollinger Bands indicate price squeeze near lower boundary, correlated with depressed RSI and KDJ readings for multiple cycles: typical precursor to further downside extension before mean reversion is possible. MACD histogram negative, dif and dea sharply downward, confirming ongoing bear momentum. No bullish divergence detected in recent candles. Volume spikes during breakdowns suggest aggressive liquidation rather than accumulation. Whale and top positions are disproportionately long, while retail buy/sell ratios remain bearish—potential for a flush-out event as larger accounts force a sweep of support below S1. Short-term oscillators (RSI, KDJ) extremely oversold, but history shows further downside often occurs until a volatility spike triggers bounce, especially with DMI-/ADX alignment. Trade recommendation: Avoid early bottom-fishing—wait for high-volume reversal signal at/near 85900 USDT. If entering, employ tight stop-loss below 85760 USDT (S2 level). Target rapid recovery zone at 86400 if bounce materializes. Risk management: Downside expansion likely if support at 85915 gives way. Waterfall stop-loss triggers suggested. No strong recovery signals yet—urgent to preserve capital until clear bullish divergence and volume reversal. Multi-timeframe analysis: 30m and 1h charts corroborate short-term bear control. Only consider repositioning once a double-bottom or hammer reversal candle emerges with confirming volume. Summary: Momentum remains on downside, driven by systematic selling and absence of buyer strength. Lower Bollinger Band and deep oversold conditions point to high risk of continued price suppression in the next 10m–30m cycle.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(25.5733) rsi12(28.7307) rsi14(33.7082)
  • MACD:dif(-200.4045) dea(-168.4668) macd(-63.8754)
  • MA:ma5(87053.02) ma10(87053.02) ma20(87361.19)
  • Boll:up(87778.48) mid(87361.19) down(86943.9)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:188894.825 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.09%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.1008
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 25, 2025 09:06

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd4550

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.