Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
85800-86200
Mark Price
86411.48
Actual Price
85946.65
Prediction Result
From the candlestick chart, it is clearly evident that BTCUSDT has experienced a significant decline from around 93,000, and is currently in a downward channel. The price has retraced over 6,000 points from the high, indicating a strong bearish trend. Technical indicators have fully shifted to a bearish outlook: RSI12 is at 24.1081, in a seriously oversold region, but RSI14 remains at 30.9999, suggesting the downward momentum has not been fully released. The MACD indicator shows deep negative values and a continuous decline, signifying strong bearish momentum. The moving average system exhibits a clear bearish alignment, with the current price at 86,411.48 significantly below all periodic moving averages. MA5 at 86,462.38 acts as the nearest resistance level, while MA20, MA50, and MA200 form successive resistance layers. Bollinger Band analysis indicates that although the price is near the lower band at 86,193.92, there is still a downward exploration space of approximately 0.143751 in percentage terms. The bandwidth of 0.014723 is relatively narrow, but the downtrend is unmistakable. Market sentiment indicators tilt towards bearish: active buy-sell ratio is 0.8397, showing selling pressure dominates. Although large traders' long-short positions ratio is 2.6094, indicating a net long tendency, it may represent bargain hunting against the trend or being trapped, making a trend reversal unlikely in the short term. Support and resistance analysis: the key support levels below are S1 at 86,281.9 and S2 at 86,066.6. The price is expected to test these supports, with a higher probability of breaking due to the current downward momentum. Volume analysis: 24-hour trading volume is 278,105.904, relatively high, indicating strong market participation and significant large-sum selling pressure. The amplitude of -6.570% confirms the current bearish market characteristics. Overall assessment: technical indicators have fully turned to bearish; in the short term, the price is likely to continue descending toward the 86,200-85,800 range. Investors should exercise caution, awaiting oversold rebound opportunities or confirmation of support at lower levels. A stop-loss is recommended above 86,600, with profit targets near 85,800.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 21, 2025 02:41
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd4458
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.