Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
120800-121200
Mark Price
121480.9
Actual Price
117250.0
Prediction Result
BTCUSDT is currently in a strong downward correction channel, with a bearish alignment of moving averages (all moving averages are suppressing price), and the price remains distant from the MA50 and MA200, indicating that the main trend is downward. The MACD histogram remains in bearish territory. Although the short-term MACD red bars may show slight rebound, the overall DIF/DEA remains synchronized downward, without forming an effective reversal. The rebound thus remains within a weak market structure. The RSI is deeply oversold, indicating strong short-term selling momentum. However, for short-selling funds, caution is advised regarding oversold rebounds. Considering the combined moving average and price structure, the rebound potential is limited. The J value of the KDJ indicator is very low, signaling that after a rapid short-term decline, momentum is being released, with some small upward correction possible, but the dominant trend remains down. The price is operating near the lower Bollinger Band, with the percent_b below 0.5, indicating the price is pressured in the lower half of the band. The weak market structure has not changed. The DMI shows significant negative momentum, with high ADX, indicating a clear trend—this suggests that the downward force is vigorous and persistent. In the short term, the price may fluctuate between 120,800 and 121,200 before a new direction is chosen. Order book data indicates that large holders are continuously shorting, combined with active sell orders dominating the market. Market sentiment is strongly bearish, implying limited upside during rebounds and ongoing downside risk. For aggressive investors, it is advised not to chase short positions immediately; wait for a volume-confirmed pause in decline within the 120,800–121,200 zone before attempting a short-term rebound. Conservative investors may observe until a trend reversal signal appears before entering. The current price of 121,480.9 is below MA5, MA10, MA20, and significantly below MA50 and MA200, with a short-term moving average system in a bearish alignment. The Bollinger Band's percent_b is 0.427187, with the price between the middle and lower bands, overall in a weak zone. The RSI6 value is extremely low at 16.73, indicating overselling in the short term. However, RSI14 and RSI24 are both below 50, showing a clear downward trend. The MACD DIF and DEA are both negative, but the MACD histogram shows red bars, suggesting that while a short-term rebound is possible, the overall bearish sentiment remains strong. The J value of the KDJ indicator is far below K and D, indicating excessive short-term momentum release, with potential small upward corrections but a predominantly bearish trend. The negative DMI line is significantly larger than the positive line, with an ADX of 42, indicating an extremely strong bearish trend and a downward trend. Large account long-short positions ratio is 1.7692, demonstrating strong short-selling bias, although the number of accounts is limited, so the downside may be temporarily hesitant. The active buy/sell ratio is 0.5424, with sellers dominating. Market liquidity supports further declines. Recent volume has increased, with volume expanding during downward moves, confirming the bearish trend.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Oct 07, 2025 17:16
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd3512
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.