Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 78%
Target Price
120500-121300
Mark Price
121908.32
Actual Price
117211.84
Prediction Result
The candlestick chart indicates continuous decline, with short-term rapid drop patterns characterized by rebound and retracement. The trading volume has periodically increased, indicating capital exiting the market and short-term panic selling. The Bollinger Bands have narrowed upward, with prices rapidly returning from the upper band to near the lower band. Currently, there is still room below the lower band, and short-term momentum has not yet been fully released. Although the MACD histogram has turned positive, the overall level remains below the zero axis. The death cross structure weakens, and if inertia persists, it will test the lower Bollinger Band and short-term support zones. The RSI(6) is extremely high, but the 12, 14, and 24-period RSIs have fallen into a neutral to slightly weak zone. Short to medium-term momentum has shifted from overbought to correction, with further room for release. A high J value on the KDJ indicator combined with a significant price decline is a typical divergence signaling a top, implying a high probability of continued short-term correction and potential breakdowns to watch for. Funds and position structure show that although institutional investors favor long positions, retail investors and overall market trading enthusiasm are insufficient. Active buy orders are weak, indicating a risk of fund realization or profit-taking. Considering resistance levels, if the short-term price breaks below 121,000, further triggers of stop-loss orders are likely, leading to a decline toward the 120,500 region. It is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see stance; aggressive traders should exercise caution with short positions, setting stop-loss above 122,300 (near the upper Bollinger Band). If a rebound surpasses this level, the current structural adjustment will be invalidated. If the current retracement continues with volume expanding and not effectively converging, prices may further decline to previous lows or the lower Bollinger Band, possibly even reaching the lower boundary of the range. When short-term oversold conditions are accompanied by diminishing volume, it is important to look for bullish reversal signals such as candlestick rejections or support patterns before attempting low-volume buy-ins.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Oct 07, 2025 16:51
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd3508
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.