Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 83%
Target Price
116800-117100
Mark Price
117270.0
Actual Price
117181.33
Prediction Result
BTCUSDT is currently in a clear downward structure, with recent candlestick charts showing consecutive declines. The price is operating primarily near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating weak short-term rebound strength and a pronounced bearish pattern. The MACD has issued a death cross and continues to expand negative values, coupled with decreased volume during the decline, suggesting minimal signs of a short-term bullish reversal. Despite oversold technical indicators, no evidence of a stabilization pattern is present. The DMI is predominantly negative, and the ADX value is low, indicating a relatively stable market condition that has not yet entered an extreme volatility zone. The moving average system displays a bearish alignment, with short-term prices consistently trading below the moving averages. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 have all turned downward, indicating a continuing downward trend. Although large traders’ long-short positioning ratio is slightly bullish, the overall market participation remains subdued, with a multi-to-single account ratio of 1.0313. Long positions do not have an absolute advantage. The market displays a strong hedging sentiment. Support and resistance levels suggest that the current key support is at 117,075 (S1). A further break below this level could lead to a decline toward the S2 zone around 115,831. The target zone is set between 116,800 and 117,100, representing the main fluctuation range for the current short-term decline. Extremes in the KDJ and RSI indicators, with very low levels, hint at the potential for a rebound, albeit weak. However, there are no signs of stabilization at present. Rapid negative volume expansion should raise concerns about the risk of support breaches. Short-term strategy favors a bearish approach. If a rebound occurs to near the MA10 (approximately 117,350), a cautious small short position can be considered with a stop-loss above 117,500. The target is in the 116,800 to 117,100 range. A short-term fall below 116,800 should alert to the risk of accelerating decline. Overall trading advice emphasizes trend-following, light positions, and quick entries and exits. Caution is needed against sudden rebounds that could cause short-term short positions to suffer from delayed profits.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jul 26, 2025 01:45
Prediction ID
binance-btcusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd1861
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.