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Binance BTCUSDT 10m Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 13:09
10m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

117700-117950

Mark Price

118015.0

Actual Price

118105.1

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price is significantly below the middle Bollinger Band and close to the lower band, with percent_b=0.240855. The Bollinger Bands are not expanding, indicating limited volatility with substantial upward resistance.
  • The MACD indicator is negative (dif: -121.03, dea: -113), with green bars still expanding, suggestive of short-term bearish momentum.
  • The RSI6 is only 37.35, and RSI14 is below 50, indicating overall weakness; momentum signals show no reversal pattern.
  • KDJ values are low, with J only at 3.15, suggesting oversold conditions without signs of rebound.
  • In DMI, DMI_minus is significantly greater than DMI_plus (33.43 vs 16.46), and ADX exceeds 20, indicating a dominant downward trend.
  • The active buy-sell ratio stands at 0.350, with only about 30% of active entries being buy orders, reflecting weak bullish momentum.
  • The long-short account ratio is below 1 (0.866), indicating retail traders' positions lean bearish; however, among large accounts, the long-short ratio is nearly balanced (0.9964), suggesting substantial disagreement among major players. After a typical bullish trap (诱多) pattern, there is a risk of short-term decline.
  • Volatility range is negative, with low fluctuation (0.0012), indicating limited activity among short-term funds.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

BTCUSDT in the 10-minute candlestick chart has recently shown a series of lower highs, with the market retreating from higher levels, accompanied by moderate volume expansion, indicating a clear short-term bearish advantage. Multiple technical indicators are collectively leaning bearishly. The Bollinger Bands' price is close to the lower band but without significant volume breakouts; the MACD green bars are expanding, signaling ongoing momentum release; momentum indicators such as RSI are also pointing weakly; and the moving average systems (MA5, MA10, MA20) are all below longer-term averages (MA50, MA200), indicating persistent selling pressure. While the large account holding ratio is somewhat bullish, there is significant divergence among accounts. The main force has not formed a unified bullish stance, making it prone to retracements or rapid declines. Overall assessment suggests a lack of short-term rapid rebound momentum. The target zone is in the S3-S1 area (117701-117912), with high downside risk. Trading suggestion: focus mainly on short positions in the near term, wait for the price to decline into the 117700-117950 range, then dynamically take profit. Stop-loss is recommended above 117960. If the market suddenly surges with high volume, be alert for a potential shift from bearish to bullish as shorts may cover abruptly. If the price falls into the 117700-117950 range and the KDJ and MACD indicators show divergence at the lows, consider opening small long positions to attempt a rebound. At this stage, strictly control position sizes and avoid overexposure.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(37.3473) rsi12(53.01) rsi14(49.3644)
  • MACD:dif(-121.0318) dea(-113.0017) macd(-16.0601)
  • MA:ma5(118111.28) ma10(118111.28) ma20(118209.6)
  • Boll:up(118568.46) mid(118209.6) down(117850.73)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:128908.985 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.12%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.8660
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 13:09

Prediction ID

binance-btcusdt-10m-forecast-2025-upd1612

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.